Misconception: Home is the Safest Place away from Covid

26 July 2021

Many people today are still having the thinking or view that home is the safest place on earth to be away from Covid.

This is true when one is living alone without any interaction with any other people. This is especially true when one is staying in a remote home faraway from visitors. This is also true when one has no interaction with the outside World. It is not true otherwise.

Why?

Human is careless. This is true especially when they are at home. They will remove all their guards. Guards about wearing mask and keep safe distances away from other people. They become lazy and never wash their hands as often. They will never think that they will get in contact with Covid-19 when they are at home.

How Do We Get Covid at home?

It has to be from outside the home. But once Covid is home, it will be everywhere. It will become one invisible family member.

We will always invite Covid home unknowingly. This is when we or our family members did not observe the rules to keep away these invisible "creatures". This is especially true if we are not controlling our children to observe also these rules.

What are these Rules?

First, and the most important rule is to remove our shoes and then sanitize our hands before we open the door. The second thing to do is to remove our mask and dispose it properly. After that, we should wash our hands throughoutly with soap and water.

This should be followed by cleaning ourselves such as taking a shower and changing our clothing.

Don't forget to sanitize everything you brought home, including sanitizing your shoes.

Finally, remember to wash our hands, again and again after and every time when we handle anything we brought home or enters our doors. This includes using soapy water cloth to clean the surfaces of packages we bought from Supermarkets, mails, small packets and parcels that we get through mail.

What about Children?

We should always assume our Children especially the school going kids will bring Covid home. We should make sure they will learn how to follow the same rules.

What if one has already vaccinated ?

Vaccination can only help to prevent Covid infection. Vaccination is not offering 100% protection. Human will have antibody against Covid after the vaccination. Whether one will get infected will depend much on one's physical condition. It is about whether our body can produce enough antibodies to protect us. We should never assume we will safe from Covid.

In conclusion

Never assume you are safe from the invisible Covid. This is also true after you have been vaccinated

Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games

This site will contain a collection of the daily live video of the interesting basketball,  football and other games to be played or played in the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games.  It will try to give a list a games that will be screened live for information.

Note that the time of the game shown everywhere in this page is Eastern New York Time.

Click the dropdown box to select the games

Soccer

Select Soccer Game to Watch 07:30 - Brazil U23 vs Spain U23 - Men August 07 22:30 - Basketball 1st Place: United States W vs Japan W August 07    [Site for Olympic Football games] 

 

Basket Ball

Select Basket Ball Game to Watch

 

Tennis

Select Tennis Game to Watch

 

Game Schedules

Note 1:  As the schedule changes very fast.  Please refer to this google page for more information

The 3x3 Basket Ball Schedule

The News Report Said Pfizer's Efficacy is only 39% Against Delta

25 July 2021

Recently,  many major newspapers were reporting about the 39% efficacy for the Pfizer vaccine against the Delta variant. 

But there were no links provided for the sources. They all have one thing in common, they all pointed at  Israel's Health Ministry. Lets pop over to the Ministry's webpage to find out.

The Israel Health Ministry Webpages

There are 2 Israel Health Ministry webpages about  Covid.  One is the dashboard in  Hebrew &  English;  the other is the Ministry main page, also in Hebrew & English  

A copy of the English news section is shown here.

https://www.gov.il/en/departments/news?OfficeId=104cb0f4-d65a-4692-b590-94af928c19c0&limit=10

But,   we could not find any relevant information or announcement for the 39% efficacy report on Pfizer.   What we found is a report about the 64% efficacy report on page 2. That was in 6 July.

3rd Booster Shot in Israel Not Effective?

Where Exactly is the Source?

We managed to find a source finally.  It was circulated among the twitters as shown here 

This source looks very legitimate.   It has the logo of the Israel's Ministry of Health with the title written in Hebrew.   It even gave detailed about the methods & also other information. It also has a table to show the efficacies for varies outcomes. Also shown is the upper & lower confidence level (cl).   But this information is not from the public domain of Israel's Health Ministry.

What's the Problem?

If one were to examine the page in detail,   one could find the following problems:- 

1.  The period was for 20 June to 17 July;  a total period of only 4 weeks;

2.  It referred to a method pointing at a Lancet report dated 15 May 2021.

3.  Its header was completely different from the header used by Israel Health Ministry. But the logo was the same though.

What's Wrong?

1.  The period of 4 weeks is too short; the Lancet report was for 4 months between January 2021 to April 2021;

2.   The method described in the Lancet repot was a Randomized Control  Trial (RCT) ;

3.   Unlike the last report about 64% efficacy,  one could not find any announcement made by the Israel's Health Ministry;4.  The headers are not same.

Possible Delay in Israel Ministry's news

We can wait a while for the Israel's Ministry to make an announcement just like before in 7 July for the 64% efficacy.  But it would appear that this is unlikely.

Any Reaction from WHO or Reputable Authorities?

So far they did not make any comment about the news report either on this 39% efficacy or the 64% efficacy on the Pfizer.   There could be 2 reasons.

1.   The methods or standards used are  not acceptable ones.  There are only the following 2 standards acceptable today;

a)  The standard vaccine trial tests done for at least 30,000 patients, divided into 2 groups;  the vaccine & the placebo group;

b)   The Randomized Control  Trial (RCT) done under similar kind of controlled environment;

The acceptable methods or standards will minimize as much as possible the variables affecting the efficacy calculation;

In the Israel Health Ministry's explanation note on 7 July, the Ministry clearly pointed out their calculation is based on "occurence per time-person by comparing the vaccinated and unvaccinated people". In other words, it is an estimate under the real World situation and not under the controlled environment. There results would contain lots of unknown and variables. The Israel's Health Ministry in its explanation note clarified that it was about vaccine effectiveness and not vaccine efficacy. Here is what exactly they've said:

https://www.gov.il/en/departments/news/06072021-04

The calculation of the vaccine's effectiveness is based on occurrence per time-person comparing vaccinated and non-vaccinated individuals during the monitoring period. 

When the vaccine has 100% effectiveness, there will not be a single case among all vaccinated individuals.

When the vaccine has not effectiveness (0), the infection rate will be the same between vaccinated and non-vaccinated individuals.

2.  Their own experts did not believe such test reports

Inactivated Vaccines are Safer with less Side Effects?

What Differences Between Efficacy & Effectiveness?

Efficacy is about how the vaccine or drug performed under a controlled environment.  On the other hand,  effectiveness is about how they performed under the real World. 

What-difference-between-efficacy-and-effectiveness?

Effectiveness measurement will differ under varying environments and for different kinds of people. 

There will not be another efficacy measurement of efficacy for any vaccine unless there is a requirement. It must be performed under a controlled environment and not in real World.

Added Note: 3rd August 2021

US CDC compiled a list of 24 Scientific & Technical papers of the vaccines available in the US.   There were about 7 papers from Israel. None from the Israel's Health Ministry. These papers from Israel did not even mention about the Ministry's findings.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/science-briefs/fully-vaccinated-people.html#ref30

Concacaf Gold Cup 2021

As there is very little response. This page will not be updated until further notice. 

Friday, July 15 (EST) ; Saturday , July 16(HKT)

Guadeloupe vs. Jamaica	July 15, 6:30 pm EST
	July 16,  6:30 am HKT
Suriname vs. Costa Rica	July 15, 8:30 pm EST
	July 16, 8:30 am HKT

Note I: 

1.  Ignore any pop-up Advertisement when video or sound button clicked. Just close the pop-up screen & return to view the video.   

2.  Video is in FHD.  If PC/mobile  unable to play, try other players or use Alternate Site.    

  Select Channel to watch different games 

Select Match from Dropdown19:30 -Haiti vs. Canada - CONCACAF Gold Cup21:30 - Martinique vs. United States - CONCACAF Gold Cup    [Site for other games] 

  

Game Highlights & Replay

Note:  some may be simulated. Click dropdown box to select the videos

Martinique v United States​ 15 Jul Haiti vs. Canada 15 Jul Guatemala vs. Mexico 14 Jul Trinidad & Tobago vs El Salvador 14 Jul Honduras vs Grenada 13 Jul Qatar vs Panama 13 Jul Jamaica vs Suriname 12 Jul Canada vs Martinique 12 Jul USA vs Haiti 11 Jul Mexico vs vs Trinidad and Tobago 11 Jul

Concacaf Gold Cup; Schedule, Score Board and fixtures 

Click dropdown box to select the information to view

1. Match Schedule 2. Match Details

https://tinyurl.com/ecm54vct

To Be or Not To Be VAXXed (Part 2)

The article in Part 1 talked about the odds of vaccinated vs unvaccinated of getting infected from mathematic point of view. It also talked about the risk of hospitalisation & death predicted using some models.

Unfortunately, the new Covid variant, Delta, is breaking through our vaccine defense. It has lowered the vaccine efficacies. This article will examine what if we do not want to be vaccinated.

What if I don't want to be vaccinated?

No country today has made Covid vaccine mandatory. Most anti-vaxx reckon by staying at home and avoiding crowdy places plus doing regular exercise can keep them away from Covid infection. Therefore, they do not have to depend on the "experimental" vaccine. Covid infection is by chances. It is not necessary one would get infected when they have close contact with those infected. It is only likely he might get infected. A layman would say it is lucky not to be infected. Many people don't even know how and if where they got infected. Studies have shown most elderly are infected at home. Being be the safest place, they will always let down their guards. Not knowing that their children and love ones might bring Covid home.

What if one got infected?

Experts have been warning us about how Covid destroys our body. Covid will leave us with long term effect after we have recovered. These warnings from the experts are all over the webs. For ease of reference, some are attached here for information.

What Chance to get such Long Term Effects?

Whether one would end up with long term effects will depend much on one's pre-existing condition and one's age. CDC USA has a few very good article on this; for example, the following

1.  Risk for COVID-19  Hospitalization/Death By Age Group

2.  People with Certain Medical Conditions

In Conclusion

Many anti-vaxx are thinking they can be safe from infection by staying at home and keeping away from crowdy place. This is not entirely true. Some anti-vaxx are blaming their Government. They said people are suffering from severe adverse effect and even death after taking the vaccine.

No government today are forcing its residents to take vaccine. It is not compulsory. The long term effect of those infected are far worse than those vaccinated. Real World charts have been showing us the results. Countries are having lower death rate after they started rolling out their vaccination. This also means that vaccinated people are either not infected. They are suffering less severe adverse effect after getting infection.