Why should Elderly be Vaccinated?

Governments all over the World are trying to pass on the message that the elderly,  older than 60 years of age are vulnerable to infection.  Many of those deaths are in the 80+ age group.    They tried to post all sorts of charts and figures,  supporting their claims;  however,  many elderly are still not serious. Why?.

How Vulnerable are these Elderly?

Yahoo has an interesting graphical table showing the death rate of various age groups in a week from July 11 to September 4.  This table must have been constructed using data from US CDC.  

Source:  https://news.yahoo.com/age-still-huge-coronavirus-risk-090059106.html

Explanation

The table shows, for example,  54  among 100,000  unvaccinated people above 80 will die each week.  On the other hand,  10 of 100,000 vaccinated people in this will also die each week if they are not careful.

What is the Difference from Other "Stories" Being Told?

There is no difference.  This "Story" is still too complicated for most of the elderly.     Not many elderly will understand especially when many have only gone to elementary schools when they were young. These people are more sensitive to numbers than rates,   which is a mathematical term.    After all,  they are the ones deciding if they should get vaccinated.

Why Elderly in Singapore not Excited?

Many a time,  we read about forumers in the discussion groups always asking why Singapore Government does not publish death numbers by vaccination status.  This is despite Singapore Government has made an effort to publish and compare the % of people dying by vaccination status on a daily basis.

Unfortunately,  this MOH's chart is not showing the numbers for the elderly.  It is showing the rate for vaccination and unvaccinated across all age groups.  The figure of 5.4 per 100,000 for the unvaccinated is 10 times smaller than the 54 per 100,000 for those 80+ as reported by Yahoo.

Then What are the numbers?

According to MOH of Singapore,  the following is the position of vaccination among the various age groups.

https://www.moh.gov.sg/covid-19/vaccination

The chart clearly shows that about 12% of those >80 are unvaccinated.  6% of those 70-79 and 5% of those 60-69 are unvaccinated

About 770 or 1.5% of those elderly above 60 in Singapore who are unvaccinated are expected to die each year. Those aged above 80 and unvaccinated has the highest death rate  @ about 300 or 3% per year.  The breakdown figures for Singapore is as shown in this table.

Estimated Death Numbers for Unvaccinated of Age Above 60 @ 7 Nov 2021 for Singapore
	Age Group			Total	Remarks
Age Group	60-69	70-79	>80
Population number (I)	500,124	244,727	96,228		Data source: https://data.gov.sg/dataset/resident-population-by-ethnicity-gender-and-age-group?view_id=2f273a73-de27-4242-a602-8165789f96d3&resource_id=d5d35678-cd15-4f43-b347-d671d1870655
% Unvaccinated in Group (II)	5%	6%	12%		Data Source: https://www.moh.gov.sg/covid-19/vaccination
Unvaccinated Nos(Estd) III=(I*II)	25,006	14,684	11,547	51,237
Death per 100K per week(IV) (Yahoo expressed in %)	13.08	35.96	54.39		https://news.yahoo.com/age-still-huge-coronavirus-risk-090059106.html
Death per week (Estd) (III*IV)	3	5	6	15
Death per year (Estd) (III*IV)	170	275	327	771
% of Unvaccinated	0.68%	1.87%	2.83%	1.51%

One could work out a similar table for other countries using the same method.  As the death rate might differ from country to country,  the working should only be taken as a reference.

Update:  17 November 2021

MOH has just published this new chart reporting on the death rate of vaccinated and unvaccinated for those between 60 – 69, and above 70 years old.   This chart shows that the death rate of unvaccinated is about 12 to 14 times higher than vaccinated for these 2 elderly age groups.

If we compare Singapore's rate to the USA's rate,  we can get this table:

Average Weekly Death Rate (Numbers per 100,000
Age Group	USA	Singapore	USA	Singapore
	Unvaccinated		Vaccinated
80+	54	13	11	1.1
65-79	36	3	2	0.2
55-64	13		1
USA: for period between July 11-Sept 4
Singapore: for period between Oct 9 to Nov 16
Note: some discrepancy expected as Singapore's figure is for 60-69 and >70 instead of 65-70 and >80

No wonder the Singapore Authority recently claimed Singapore was having one of the lowest death rates in the World.  

The comparison table might not be fair to the US considering that Singapore is a city-state and a small country and US is a big country with many different demographics,